Chuck Watson: “NATO in Ukraine: from Proxy to Participants” | The Great Simplification #114

(Conversation recorded on March 12th, 2024) Show Summary: On this special episode, risk analyst Chuck Watson returns to discuss the current state of the conflict in Ukraine and the potential for escalation. With the conflict centered around resource control, cultural clashes, and political posturing - will European countries now push to keep the United States involved with the conflict? More, are we seeing the full picture from the perspective of western media? Who is really winning this ’open secret war’ and what is the context behind the various realities of the players in this conflict? Are there still peaceful, stable options that maneuver us away from open war and what would those mean for the rest of the world? About Chuck Watson: Chuck Watson has had a long career in military and intelligence work, with a specialty in natural and human made disaster modeling. He worked for the US Air Force, was an attache to US Ambassadors to the Middle East Robert McFarland, and Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld as a Soviet expert. Chuck has worked as an advisor to the military for over four decades with a particular emphasis on big data, open source intelligence, with an emphasis on the Soviet Union and Russia. Chuck is also the founder and Director of Research and Development of Enki Holdings, LLC, which designs computer models for phenomena ranging from tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and other weather phenomena, earthquakes, and tsunamis, as well as anthropogenic hazards such as industrial accidents, terrorism, and weapons of mass destruction. ***UPDATE (3/16/24)*** Chuck Watson has written some clarifying comments regarding the casualty figures discussed in this episode, which can be found at the link below: Watson Clarification on For Show Notes and More visit: 0:00 - Intro 4:17 - What Is This War About? 13:43 - Impact on France 17:59 - Who’s Winning and Who’s Losing? 30:33 - Proxy War, Secret War, Public War 36:00 - Article 5 of the NATO Treaty 38:04 - Chances of Escalation 45:46 - What Would an Open War Mean? 50:48 - The Great Simplification of Europe 53:05 - Closing Thoughts