Polling Expert: How The 2024 Election Will Play Out - Nate Silver

Nate Silver is a statistician, writer of Silver Bulletin, and Founder of FiveThirtyEight. No one truly knows who will win an election, but if anyone does, it’s Nate. He is the man behind the most accurate, sophisticated polling data assessments in America and has an insight into modern culture like no one else. Expect to learn why this election cycle differs from other ones, just how complex election prediction models are, what the most important topics of this election are, whether there is ever a chance for a 3rd party option to become president, the role of the media in determining who wins and much more… - 00:00 How Nate Mastered Sports Betting 04:01 Models Used to Predict Elections 08:03 The Way People Vote Today 11:02 Why Kamala Harris Isn’t Appearing on Podcasts 14:54 Do Debates Change People’s Minds? 17:22 The Impact of Running Mates 23:53 Have the Assassination Attempts Impacted the Election? 30:16 The States That Decide the Election 32:50 Likel