The Limits of Ukraine’s Offensive and the High Price to Pay When it Ends

Update on Russian operations in Ukraine for October 5, 2022 - Latest US aid package falls far short of replacing steep Ukrainian losses amid continued offensives; - Ukraine’s offensive has limited capabilities, will not achieve “victory” over Russian forces in territory deemed “Ukrainian” by Kiev; - Ukrainian offensive is an “all-or-nothing” proposition, hoping to achieve psychological and political gains toward ending the conflict in ways Ukrainian military force cannot; - Western analysts celebrate the psychological impact the offensive is having on pro-Russian media, pundits, and even prominent members of Russian society; - In reality, Ukraine will be left overextended and vulnerable just as Russia’s 300,000-strong mobilization begins shaping the battlefield. References: US Department of Defense - $625 Million in Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine Oct. 4, 2022: