Putin Unleashed: A Game Theory Analysis of the Ukraine Conflict | David Woo
So much has happened in the Ukraine War over the past month. In early June, Ukraine launched its long awaited counter-offensive. Two weeks later, Russia’s Wagner Group staged an open rebellion. On July 7, Biden said he was sending cluster bombs to Ukraine. On July 10, Erdogan agreed to clear the way for Sweden’s NATO membership. Two days later, a day after the NATO summit, Biden declared Putin’s “already lost the war“. So much is happening, not to mention the propaganda, that it is difficult to understand what really is going on. Can game theory, a tool for analyzing strategic interaction between multiple players that is designed for making predictions of its outcome, help us filter out the noise? What does the War of attrition game theory tell us about the strategies being deployed by the two sides? Biden hit out at Putin’s “craven lust for power and land“, but why are the US and its allies determined to keep the proxy war against Russia going to the last Ukrainian? What will Putin do now? What will he do before the BRICS summit next month? David Woo, a former IMF economist and top-ranked Wall Street global macro strategist, tells it as it is. You may not agree with everything he says but he will make you reassess everything you thought you knew.
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