Campi Flegrei Supervolcano Update; Reports that it is Heading Towards an Eruption?

In the past week, several major news outlets published stories which claimed that the supervolcano in Italy known as Campi Flegrei might be heading towards an eruption. The basis of this claim is a scientific report that documents a slowly decreasing stability of rock overlying its magma chamber, which has an increased risk of rupturing. This video explains what this all means, and gives an opinion based analysis on what the odds of a volcanic eruption occurring are due to this new information. Note: The rupturing mentioned in this video is not in my opinion an imminent threat. It could occur this month, next month, a year from now, this decade, next decade, or even a longer period from now. We simply do not know when it will occur. Thumbnail Photo Credit: This work “CampiFlegrei58“, is a derivative of a photo (resized, cropped, image flipped horizontally (mirrored where left became right and right became left), text overlay, GeologyHub made graphics overlay (the GeologyHub logo and the image border)) from “Solfatara“, by: Becks, littlemisspurps, 2014, Posted on Flickr, Flickr account link: , Photo link: , CC BY 2.0. “CampiFlegrei58“ is used & licensed under CC BY 2.0 by If you would like to support this channel, consider using one of the following links: (Patreon: ) (YouTube membership: ) (Gemstone & Mineral Etsy store: ) (GeologyHub Merch Etsy store: ) Google Earth imagery used in this video: ©Google & Data Providers This video is protected under “fair use“. If you see an image and/or video which is your own in this video, and/or think my discussion of a scientific paper (and/or discussion/mentioning of the data/information within a scientific paper) does not fall under the fair use doctrine, and wish for it to be censored or removed, contact me by email at tccatron@ and I will make the necessary changes. Various licenses used in sections of this video (not the entire video, this video as a whole does not completely fall under one of these licenses) and/or in this video’s thumbnail image: Public Domain: CC BY 2.0: CC BY 3.0: CC BY 4.0: Sources/Citations: [1] Di Vito, M., Acocella, V., Aiello, G. et al. Magma transfer at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) before the 1538 AD eruption. Sci Rep 6, 32245 (2016). , CC BY 4.0. This is the scientific paper I reference at 3m45s in this video. [2] Craig A. Miller, Glyn Williams-Jones, Dominique Fournier, Jeff Witter, 3D gravity inversion and thermodynamic modelling reveal properties of shallow silicic magma reservoir beneath Laguna del Maule, Chile, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 459, 2017, Pages 14-27, ISSN 0012-821X, , () [3] Giudicepietro Flora, Macedonio Giovanni, Martini Marcello,A Physical Model of Sill Expansion to Explain the Dynamics of Unrest at Calderas with Application to Campi Flegrei, Frontiers in Earth Science, Volume 5, 2017, , DOI: , ISSN: 2296-6463, CC BY 4.0 [4] Amoruso, Antonella & Crescentini, Luca & D’Antonio, M. & Acocella, Valerio. (2017). Thermally-assisted Magma Emplacement Explains Restless Calderas. Scientific Reports. 7. , CC BY 4.0 [5] VEIs, dates/years, composition, tephra layer name, DRE estimates, and bulk tephra volume estimates for volcanic eruptions shown in this video which were assigned a VEI 4 or larger without an asterisk after their name are sourced from the LaMEVE database (British Geological Survey © UKRI), Used with Permission [6] YouTube Creative Commons, Video at 0:10-0:22 of Solfatara: CC BY 3.0 license [7] Source of Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) methodology and criteria: Newhall, C. G., and Self, S. (1982), The volcanic explosivity index (VEI) an estimate of explosive magnitude for historical volcanism, J. Geophys. Res., 87(C2), 1231–1238, doi: Accessed / Read by on Oct 5th, 2022. 0:00 Campi Flegrei Supervolcano 0:33 Background Information 1:25 Magma Chamber 2:06 Campi Flegrei’s Cycle 2:43 Ground Uplift 3:15 Ground Rupture 4:23 Summary 4:51 Conclusion